Entries by Phillip Law, CFA

On the War in Iran: Do Markets Not Care, and What’s Next?

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With 80 oil tankers stranded and a 9-million-barrel daily shortfall, why are markets hovering near all-time highs? In our April 2026 update, we dive into the “boxed-in” realities facing both the U.S. and Iran, the seven-step framework for “maximum pressure” negotiations, and why we’re choosing disciplined rebalancing over reactive shifts. Discover why the market is looking past the immediate conflict in what’s now a world of accelerated deglobalization.

2026 Outlook: Beyond AI & Mega-Cap Tech

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Is the AI “gold rush” a visionary leap or a speculative mania? After driving 60% of market growth in 2025, the ecosystem now faces a high-stakes “shot clock” on ROI. We weigh the explosive potential of AI against the vast amount of unanswered questions as we aim to make sense of AI’s “bubble-ness.”

2026 Investment Outlook: AI, Economy, Inflation

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As we move into 2026, the investment landscape has shifted. After a year where gold and international markets defied the “di-worsification” myth, we examine the path forward for the US economy. This outlook dives deep into the bull and bear cases for AI hyperscalers, the impact of upcoming fiscal stimulus, and why the “hidden” risk of inflation may require a rethink of the traditional 60/40 portfolio.

Decoding the AI Hype: How Today’s Market Compares to the Dot-Com Bubble

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Headlines are drawing parallels between the current AI-driven market surge and the late-1990s dot-com mania. Is history repeating itself, or is this time different? This post cuts through the noise, examining key differences like real earnings, profit margins, and underlying investment in AI infrastructure. We explain how a disciplined, data-driven investment approach is positioned to navigate various market outcomes. Get the essential context you need for your portfolio strategy.

Part 1: We Will Prevail

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Markets are tumbling while buildings are collapsing, with weapons devastating Ukraine. Will we make it to the light at the end of the tunnel, or is all lost? This is a series addressing the geopolitical war overseas and the implications on investors.