Rate Cut vs. Reality: Making Sense of Powell’s Mixed Signals

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Investors finally got the interest rate cut they were waiting for last month, but comments from the Federal Reserve Chair have some of them scratching their heads. Let’s see if we can make sense of these mixed signals.

Jerome Powell Brings Investors Up Short

The Fed reduced its target federal funds rate by 0.25% on September 17. Rate cuts tend to make equity investors optimistic: They figure lower interest rates will reduce borrowing costs, goosing economic activity and hopefully boosting corporate earnings and stock prices. This time around, investors may think the Fed cut helps validate the S&P 500’s nearly 35% gain since it bottomed in early April. 

Then, a week after cutting rates, Fed Chair Jerome Powell uttered these words:

“By many measures…equity prices are fairly highly valued.”

Powell’s seemingly innocuous statement sounded like a loud needle scratch to some investors. Fed chairs don’t often comment on stock prices, so the fact that he chose this moment to highlight steep valuations raised questions. 

Is Powell—a renowned economist with more and better information than just about anybody—saying stocks are too highly valued? Are prices about to drop? Should you sell before it’s too late?

Are Stocks Expensive Right Now?

On the surface, it’s hard to quibble with Powell’s take. The most common way to gauge the broad stock market’s valuation is to look at the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the S&P 500. And it’s high: As of September 26, the S&P 500’s P/E was 20% above the average of the past 10 years.1  

But the topic deserves a little more context. Certain parts of the stock market are driving up the average, so it’s probably more accurate to say that some equity prices are fairly highly valued. 

Specifically, tech stocks have risen on investor optimism about the potential for AI to drive future earnings. The tech sector had a P/E ratio over 30 as of October 1, compared to about 23 for the S&P 500 as a whole. By contrast, the energy, financials, health care, materials and utilities sectors all had P/Es in the teens.2  

Should You Sell When Stocks Are Pricey?

Everybody knows the investing adage “Buy low, sell high.” However, applying this in practice isn’t always straightforward. Fact is, pricey stocks can get more expensive, such that exiting stock positions solely based on valuations can materially harm portfolio outcomes in the short-term. In fact, a study by LPL Financial comparing historical stock market valuation to returns over the next 12 months found “no relationship whatsoever.”3

Just ask another renowned Fed Chair, Alan Greenspan. Almost 30 years ago, he famously described “irrational exuberance” in the stock market—and the S&P 500 surged more than 100% over the following four years.4

While valuations are a poor short-term timing tool, it’s true that high valuations can temper future returns.5 To address this, we have recently implemented a rebalancing strategy across our client accounts. This essential process automatically takes profits from assets that have become highly valued and redirects those funds to areas we believe have better forward-looking potential, ensuring your allocation stays on target.

Run-ups in the prices of some investments can throw off your asset allocation—the percentage of your portfolio you have devoted to specific investment types. That’s why we periodically rebalance your portfolio, resetting your allocations to your long-term targets. This process automatically reduces how much you have in assets that have gained the most and redirects those resources toward assets that have lagged.

Your financial plan is designed to weather the short term so you can focus on the long term. But if there’s ever a news story that gives you pause, you can always reach out to us to help put it into perspective.  

Phillip Law, CFA

Senior Portfolio Manager, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

Sources:

  1. FactSet Earnings Insight, September 26, 2025. P/E based on forward earnings.
  2. Yardeni Research, October 2, 2025. P/Es based on forward earnings.
  3. LPL Financial, “Valuations Aren’t Great Timing Tools,” March 6, 2024.
  4. “Back in the ‘90s a Fed chief warned about ‘irrational exuberance’ in the markets. Stocks rose 105% over the next four years.” Fortune, September 30, 2025
  5. LSEG, “Do valuations correlate to long-term returns?” January 23, 2025

Financial Planning for Open Enrollment: A Guide to Making Smart Choices

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Open enrollment is your annual opportunity to review and select your employee benefits for the upcoming year. While it might seem like just another task on your to-do list, the choices you make now can have a significant impact on your health and finances. Don’t simply “roll over” last year’s elections without a review. A proactive approach will ensure your benefits align with your needs and goals. 

Analyzing Your Health Insurance Options

Start by assessing your current situation. Think about your health needs from the past year: how many doctor’s visits did you have? What were your prescription costs? Do you anticipate any major life changes, such as getting married or having a baby? These factors will help you choose the right plan.

Understanding Key Terms

Before diving into plan specifics, it’s crucial to understand a few key terms:

  • Premium: The fixed monthly cost you pay for your insurance plan.
  • Deductible: The amount you pay out of pocket before your insurance coverage begins.
  • Copay: A fixed amount you pay for a doctor’s visit or prescription after your deductible is met.
  • Coinsurance: A percentage of costs you pay for covered services after the deductible is met.
  • Out-of-Pocket Maximum: The maximum amount you will pay in a year before the plan covers 100% of costs.

Comparing Plan Types: PPO vs. HDHP

The two most common types of health plans are a Preferred Provider Organization (PPO) and a High-Deductible Health Plan (HDHP).

  • A PPO typically has a lower deductible but higher premiums. It also offers more flexibility for seeing out-of-network doctors. This type of plan is generally best for people who use a lot of medical services, as the costs are more predictable.
  • An HDHP has a higher deductible but lower premiums. While you’ll pay more upfront for care, this type of plan makes you eligible for a Health Savings Account (HSA). An HDHP is often a great choice for generally healthy individuals or those who can comfortably afford the higher upfront costs if a major health event were to occur.

To help with your decision, compare the total estimated annual cost of each plan. For example, calculate the premiums plus potential out-of-pocket costs for a year with no major health events versus a year with a major surgery. This simple exercise can reveal which plan offers the most financial sense for your situation.

Maximizing Your Tax-Advantaged Accounts

In addition to health insurance, open enrollment is your chance to enroll in or update contributions to valuable tax-advantaged accounts.

Flexible Spending Accounts (FSA)

An FSA allows you to use pre-tax dollars for qualified medical or dependent care expenses, which lowers your taxable income. The key rule to remember is “use it or lose it”—funds typically do not roll over from one year to the next. Carefully estimate your upcoming year’s expenses to avoid forfeiting any money.

Health Savings Accounts (HSA)

An HSA is a powerful financial tool with a triple tax advantage:

  1. Contributions are pre-tax.
  2. Funds grow tax-free.
  3. Withdrawals for qualified medical expenses are tax-free.

Unlike an FSA, an HSA is portable, meaning the account belongs to you even if you change jobs. This makes it an excellent long-term savings tool. After age 65, you can withdraw funds for any reason without penalty, although non-medical withdrawals are subject to income tax. Remember, an HSA is only available if you are enrolled in an HDHP.

Reviewing Other Important Benefits

Don’t stop at health insurance; open enrollment is the perfect time to review your other benefits.

Retirement Contributions

Check your retirement contributions to your 401(k) or 403(b). If your employer offers a matching contribution, be sure you’re contributing at least enough to get the full match—it’s free money! Consider increasing your contribution rate by at least 1% each year. Small, consistent increases can make a huge difference over time.

Life and Disability Insurance

  • Life Insurance: Review your coverage needs based on your dependents and debts. Your employer may provide basic coverage, but you might need supplemental, voluntary coverage to fully protect your loved ones.
  • Disability Insurance: This benefit protects your income if you are unable to work due to illness or injury. Review your short-term and long-term disability options to ensure your income is protected.

Final Steps and Action Plan

Making your benefit selections requires a few final steps to ensure you’re fully prepared.

  1. Check Beneficiaries: In case of a major life change like a marriage or divorce, update the beneficiaries on all your accounts (retirement, life insurance) to ensure your assets go to the right people.
  2. Gather Your Information: Have all your plan documents, a list of your regular doctors, and an estimate of last year’s medical expenses ready. This information will help you make a more accurate and informed choice.
  3. Make Your Choices and Submit: Be mindful of the deadline and submit your final selections on time.

By taking the time to review your options and make informed decisions, you can ensure your benefits package is working for you and your financial well-being. Be sure to reach out to your advisor to discuss any of these items in more detail.

Justin D. Rucci, CFP®

Wealth Advisor, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

The Power of Purpose in Retirement

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Retirement is a major life shift, one that impacts more than just your schedule. It can reshape your sense of identity, daily habits and even your health. In fact, research has shown that retirement can raise the risk of heart disease and other medical issues by up to 40%. The reason? Experts point to a loss of purpose and reduced social connection, both of which can take a toll on mental and physical well-being.

Without a plan for how to spend your time meaningfully, the transition can bring unexpected emotional challenges.

The Risks of Unstructured Retirement

Many retirees begin this new chapter with a “honeymoon phase”—a period marked by the novelty of free time, relaxation or long-awaited travel plans. But this initial high can eventually fade.

When the excitement of sleeping in and checking items off the bucket list wears off, retirees can find themselves facing unexpected emotional challenges. Common struggles include boredom, loss of routine, identity shifts and social isolation. In fact, 24% of older adults are considered to be socially isolated. Isolation can also have a ripple effect on health: It’s associated with a 50% increase in risk of developing dementia and increased risk of premature mortality.  

Designing a Retirement with Purpose

To avoid some of the potential pitfalls of an unstructured retirement, it’s important to think carefully—and proactively—about purpose. What do you want this next phase of life to look and feel like? Beyond financial planning, consider how you’ll meet the deeper needs your pre-retirement life—including work and raising kids—may have fulfilled: structure, identity, accomplishment, social connection and a sense of meaning.

What brings you pleasure and meaning? What have you always wanted to try or learn? Pursuing these activities can provide purpose and help ensure retirement’s not just a long vacation, but a rewarding chapter of your life.

Feeling stuck here? Try asking close friends or family what they see light you up. Often, others can reflect back passions or strengths that are hard to see on your own. 

Staying Connected and Active

Relationships and physical routines matter more than ever when you retire. Staying active, both physically and socially, offers measurable health benefits. Regular physical activity lowers risks, including the likelihood of dementia, heart disease, stroke and eight types of cancer. 

People-centered activity is important, too. Look for ways to stay engaged, whether through volunteering, mentoring, part-time work, creative pursuits or community involvement. Older volunteers, aged 55 and up, who gave 100 hours or more each year were two-thirds less likely to report poor health than non-volunteers. 

Spending more time with family is a high priority for many retirees and can be a great way to fulfill social needs. But make sure that vision is shared. Open conversations with loved ones about time together, expectations and boundaries can help align plans and avoid disappointment down the road.

The Retirement Identity Shift

In many ways, it’s hard to define what retirement is. After all, it’s not a single moment but a series of transitions. For instance, rather than an abrupt shift to not working at all, you may consider bridge employment—usually part-time work in a temporary position or as a consultant in your field or in a different industry. This can offer a gradual shift into retirement, providing continued income and engagement as you adjust. 

As your vision for retirement evolves, keep us in the loop. We’d love to hear what you’re planning—and we’re here to help ensure your financial strategy stays aligned with your goals.

Emily Balmages, CFP®

Director of Financial Planning, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

A Warm Welcome to Our New Tax Administrator, Hillary Curtis

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Warren Street is growing, and we’re thrilled to introduce the newest member of our Next Street Tax team, Hillary Curtis! Located in South Carolina, Hillary is our new Tax Administrator, and she’s excited to get to know our clients and help support their financial needs.

For those of you who have been following along, we’ve been using this space to make virtual introductions to our team members and the roles they play in serving you. This time, we’re giving you a deeper look into who Hillary is and how she’ll be an asset to our team and our clients.

How do you assist Next Street Tax’s clients in your role as Tax Administrator?

I’m the first point of contact for our tax clients as they begin the filing process. My job is to ensure clients understand the services they’ll receive, the process from start to finish, and to provide status updates along the way. My goal is to make sure clients always know where they are in the filing process.

What impact do you hope to make at Next Street Tax?

I want to build strong relationships with our clients. I’m excited to grow with the company and to do my part to make sure our clients feel supported throughout their tax journey.

How does Next Street Tax align with your personal values?

Next Street Tax creates an environment that provides both balance and growth. These attributes are important to me in my personal life. I am always looking for ways to grow, and I believe in balance in every aspect of my life.

Who or what motivates you?

I’m motivated by the person I was yesterday. My goal is to always be a better version of myself than I was the day before.

What do you enjoy doing outside of work?

I enjoy going to concerts, catching up with friends and family, and traveling whenever I can.

What are three fun facts about you?

1. I love reading motivational and finance books.

2. I like to test my luck on PrizePicks—I’ve only won twice!

3. My very first concert was Sevyn Streeter, and it’s what started my love for live music.

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We’re so happy to have Hillary on the team. Her commitment to client communication and personal growth makes her an incredible addition to Next Street Tax. She will be working directly with our Warren Street clients who use our tax services, so you may be hearing from her soon!y and can’t wait to see the positive impact she’ll continue to make for our clients and our firm.

Jennifer Battles

Director of Operations, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

Veronica Cabral’s Path to Becoming a CFP® and Lead Advisor

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Veronica Cabral, CFP® has been with our company since its early days in 2016, growing alongside the firm and making an impact at every stage of her career. From starting as a Client Service Associate to serving as Director of Operations and Chief Compliance Officer, Veronica’s dedication has been unwavering. Now, she’s taking another exciting step forward—having recently passed her CFP® exam and assuming the role of Lead Advisor. 

We are thrilled to celebrate this major milestone in her career and the expertise she brings to our clients. If you missed her original “Meet the Team” post, you can check it out here. 

In this interview, we dive deeper into Veronica’s new role and her vision as a Lead Advisor. Enjoy!

You’ve been with the company since 2016, starting as a Client Service Associate. How has your journey shaped your approach to financial advising?

Getting to join Warren Street so early in my career and going through so many different roles, I’ve been able to get a deeper understanding of each part of our process which has given me a really strong foundation now that I get to work with clients directly on their financial plans.

What inspired you to pursue the CFP® certification, and how do you think it will impact your work with clients?

I’ve always felt that working with clients directly and getting to build strong relationships was what I was most passionate about. When the opportunity came up for me to become an advisor, pursuing the CFP® was something I knew would be the right next move. Not only preparing for the exam, but going through the Personal Financial Planning Certificate Program at UCLA Extension gave me a really good understanding of each facet of the financial planning process. Ultimately, knowing that it would make me a better financial planner for our clients is what motivated me and I think the knowledge I got through the program and exam will help me be the best advisor I can be for our clients.

What excites you most about stepping into the Lead Advisor role, and how do you envision this next chapter of your career?

What excites me the most about my new role is getting to know our clients on a deeper level and helping them meet their financial goals. It’s really rewarding seeing our clients meet their goals and helping them check off really important things off their list.

You also run the Instagram page @veemakescents, where you share financial tips and insights. What are your goals with this platform?

I started @veemakescents almost 8 years ago with the goal of helping young women understand money more. I grew the platform to over 50,000 followers across different channels and then life got really busy. Between navigating a global pandemic, getting married, buying our first home, welcoming our son into the world, and then going back to school to pursue the CFP® , I took a step back from the platform. I hope to get back to posting soon, especially now that I have more in depth knowledge on financial planning. My goal still remains the same – to empower young women to take control over their finances. 

As a bilingual advisor, how has being fluent in Spanish helped you build relationships with clients?

Speaking two languages is a gift especially when it comes to my career. Ever since I worked at a bank as a teller in college, speaking Spanish opened opportunities for me and allowed me to help more clients. Speaking Spanish allows me to help a diverse set of clients and the most important thing is allowing me to build trust with them. Language barriers can make things difficult especially when it comes to finances and I love that I get to help these clients navigate something so important. 

What advice would you give to others preparing for the CFP® exam to earn their certification?

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Once again, congratulations to Veronica on this incredible achievement. We’re proud to have her leading the way and can’t wait to see the positive impact she’ll continue to make for our clients and our firm.

Jennifer Battles

Director of Operations, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

Counterintuitive Money Advice: Investing Against the Grain

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There are a lot of things in life where the right move is pretty intuitive. Avoid the top rung of a ladder when you’re changing a lightbulb. Don’t click on that suspicious link in your email inbox. 

But when it comes to your money, making smart decisions isn’t always so easy. In fact, there are a lot of times in investing where the intuitive move isn’t the best. A stand-out example is risk: For the most part, our brains and bodies tell us to avoid it. While it may seem smart to dial down risk in your investment portfolio, taking a too-conservative approach might leave you far short of your long-term goals. Making sound financial decisions often involves embracing counterintuitive strategies. Let’s explore a few more.

Less Action Often Leads to Better Results

Scenario: All too frequently, news headlines scream about stocks soaring or plummeting. When alarm bells like these ring, your impulse may be to take action. Zoom out and you’ll realize that a doom-and-gloom news cycle is practically a given. Buying and selling investments based on it is not a good idea.   

Counterintuitive advice: The urge to act on market movements can be hard to resist. However, investing is a long-term endeavor, and often the best move is to do nothing at all.

Consider the story of the Voya Corporate Leaders Trust highlighted by Jason Zweig of The Wall Street Journal a few years back. Established in 1935, this fund was designed to counteract the speculative excesses that contributed to the 1929 market crash. Its approach was radical: The fund purchased equal shares of 30 stocks and committed to holding them indefinitely. No new stocks could be added, and existing ones could only be sold under extraordinary circumstances, such as bankruptcy or mergers.

Despite being on “permanent autopilot” for nearly a century, the Voya fund has outperformed many actively managed funds—and even the S&P 500 at times. Patience and a hands-off approach can pay off over time.

Your Portfolio Shouldn’t Match the S&P 500

Scenario: When the S&P 500 has had a bang-up year, as it did in 2024—and 2023—you may be tempted to wonder why your portfolio didn’t keep up. In fact, it might lead to what’s known as “tracking error regret,” which occurs when investors second-guess their diversified approach because their returns don’t match a popular benchmark. 

Counterintuitive advice: Your portfolio is not built to match the S&P 500, which represents just one slice of the market—the 500 largest U.S. companies. 

Instead, it’s designed for reasons that are unique to you, whether it’s funding retirement, paying for kids’ college education or leaving your wealth for the next generation. A well-diversified portfolio is a powerful tool to help you meet those goals. Consider the classic 60/40 portfolio, which allocates 60% to equities and 40% to bonds. While it’s not likely to outperform an all-equity portfolio over the long run, it is structured to provide a buffer during periods of market turmoil.

Remember, it’s not the S&P 500’s performance that matters. What really matters is sticking with the right plan that will help you meet your financial goals.

Embrace the Bear

Scenario: When bear markets happen, it certainly doesn’t feel good. In fact, it may feel like you’re watching your wealth evaporate before your eyes. The impulse might be to cut your losses and sell. But bear markets have a tendency to change course. (In fact, they historically always have.) 

Counterintuitive advice: Market downturns provide an opportunity to rebalance your portfolio. Bear markets can be prime buying opportunities. When prices are low, you are essentially given the chance to buy shares of a company or a fund when they’re on sale. You may consider trimming positions in asset classes that have grown and buying more shares in those whose valuations have dropped. 

Rebalancing in this way helps you stick closer to the asset allocation strategy that’s at the center of your financial plan.

Putting It All Together

Whether it’s sticking to a diversified portfolio, viewing market downturns as opportunities or making smart spending decisions, counterintuitive strategies can help you stay on track toward your financial goals. 

As you reflect on your investments this year, remember that your portfolio is unique to you. It’s designed to meet your specific needs and long-term objectives. And sometimes, the best move is simply to trust your plan and let time do the heavy lifting. We’re here to field any questions you may have along the way.

Phillip Law, CFA

Senior Portfolio Manager, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

The “Big Beautiful Bill”: What It Means for Your Finances

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The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBBA), signed July 4, 2025, is poised to significantly impact nearly every aspect of your financial life. From your tax bill to your healthcare and your children’s future savings, understanding the nuances of this bill is crucial for effective financial planning.

Here’s a breakdown of what the OBBB means for you:

Tax Planning: More in Your Pocket, But Mind the Details

The OBBB makes permanent many of the individual income tax rates and brackets from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), providing long-term clarity. But there’s more:

  • Expanded Standard Deduction: The standard deduction sees a permanent expansion, making tax filing simpler for many and potentially reducing the need to itemize.
  • Temporary Deductions (2025-2028): Get ready for some new, but temporary, tax breaks.
    • No Tax on Tips/Overtime: If you earn qualified tip income (up to $25,000) or overtime premium pay (up to $12,500 for individuals, $25,000 for joint filers), you may be able to deduct it. Keep an eye on income phase-outs.
    • Senior Tax Deduction: Individuals 65 and older meeting income thresholds ($75,000 single, $150,000 joint) can claim an additional $6,000 deduction, aiming to offset federal taxes on Social Security.
    • Auto Loan Interest Deduction: A temporary deduction of up to $10,000 for interest on loans for U.S.-assembled vehicles is available, subject to income phase-outs.
  • Increased SALT Deduction Cap: For five years, the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction cap temporarily increases to $40,000 (from $10,000), with income-based phase-outs. This is a win for residents of high-tax states.
  • Enhanced Child Tax Credit: The Child Tax Credit permanently increases to $2,200 per child and will be indexed for inflation.
  • Business Tax Incentives: Businesses will see the reinstatement of 100% bonus depreciation and permanent Section 199A (Qualified Business Income) deduction, encouraging investment.
  • Estate and Gift Tax Relief: The unified credit and Generation-Skipping Transfer Tax (GSTT) exemption thresholds are permanently increased to $15 million per individual, offering substantial relief for high-net-worth individuals.

Your Action Plan: Review your current tax strategies with a financial advisor to maximize these new permanent and temporary provisions. Consider whether itemizing still makes sense for you.

Healthcare & Social Programs: A Shifting Landscape

The OBBB includes significant cuts to federal funding for vital social programs:

  • Medicaid Changes: Expect cuts to Medicaid funding and new work requirements for many adult beneficiaries. If you or your loved ones rely on Medicaid, be aware of potential reduced coverage or new eligibility hurdles.
  • SNAP (Food Assistance) Adjustments: The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) also faces federal funding cuts and expanded work requirements.
  • Affordable Care Act (ACA) Implications: New eligibility verification requirements are imposed for ACA marketplace coverage, and enhanced tax credits for ACA coverage are set to expire. This could lead to higher out-of-pocket premium payments for many, particularly older adults. The CBO estimates these changes could lead to a significant increase in the uninsured population.

Your Action Plan: Reassess your healthcare and benefits planning. Explore alternative options if you’re impacted by changes to Medicaid or ACA, and adjust your budget accordingly.

Retirement & Savings: New Avenues and Program Shifts

The bill introduces both opportunities and challenges for your long-term financial goals:

  • “Trump Accounts” for Children: A brand-new savings option for newborns. These “Trump Accounts” receive an initial federal contribution of $1,000, with parents able to contribute up to $5,000 annually. Classified as IRAs, gains are tax-deferred until age 18. This is a new consideration for long-term savings for your children.
  • Student Loan Program Overhaul: Federal student loan programs are undergoing significant alterations, potentially ending subsidized and income-driven repayment options. Limits are also placed on Pell Grant eligibility. Current and future students will need to adjust their education financial planning.
  • HSA and 529 Expansion: Good news for healthcare and education savings. Eligible uses for Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) and 529 education savings plans are expanded, offering more flexibility.
  • Social Security Outlook: While the bill provides some temporary tax relief for seniors, its overall impact on the national debt could accelerate the insolvency of Social Security. This is a long-term consideration for retirement planning.

Your Action Plan: Evaluate “Trump Accounts” alongside existing savings vehicles like 529 plans. If you have student loans or are planning for higher education, understand the new repayment and eligibility rules. Review how you leverage your HSA and 529 plans for maximum benefit.

Investment & Business Considerations: Adapting to Policy Shifts

The OBBB also brings changes that could influence your investment portfolio:

  • Clean Energy Tax Credits: Many clean energy tax credits from the Inflation Reduction Act are being phased out, which may impact investments in renewable energy and electric vehicles.
  • Fossil Fuel Promotion: The bill promotes increased domestic oil and gas production, which could influence investment strategies in the energy sector.

Your Action Plan: Consider how these policy shifts might affect your investment portfolio. Diversification and a long-term perspective remain key.

Overall Financial Planning Implications: A Holistic Approach

The “Big Beautiful Bill” is a game-changer. It necessitates a comprehensive review of your financial strategy.

  • Review Tax Strategies: Don’t miss out on new deductions!
  • Reassess Healthcare and Benefits Planning: Understand potential impacts on coverage and eligibility.
  • Evaluate Savings Options: Explore new opportunities like “Trump Accounts” and expanded HSA/529 uses.
  • Update Estate Plans: High-net-worth individuals should revisit their estate plans due to increased exemptions.
  • Adjust Investment Portfolios: Align your investments with the new economic realities. If you’re a client of ours, we’ve already done this for you.

The “One Big Beautiful Bill” is far-reaching. Given its complexity, consulting with a qualified financial advisor and tax professional is highly recommended to understand how these provisions specifically impact your unique financial situation and to adjust your plans accordingly. Schedule time with a Warren Street advisor today. .

Justin D. Rucci, CFP®

Wealth Advisor, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

Sources:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/The-One-Big-Beautiful-Bill-Legislation-for-Historic-Prosperity-and-Deficit-Reduction-1.pdf

https://apnews.com/article/what-is-republican-trump-tax-bill-f65be44e1050431a601320197322551b

https://dart.deloitte.com/USDART/home/news/all-news/2025/jul/obbb-signed

https://www.bairdwealth.com/insights/wealth-management-perspectives/2025/10/the-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-how-it-may-impact-you

https://www.lathropgpm.com/insights/tax-update-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-signed-into-law-what-does-it-mean-for-you

https://www.loeb.com/en/insights/publications/2025/07/the-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-breaking-down-key-changes-in-the-new-tax-legislation

https://blog.zencare.co/obbba-bill-medicaid-therapy-cuts

https://www.investopedia.com/parents-and-the-big-beautiful-bill-11767091

https://www.crfb.org/blogs/obbba-would-accelerate-social-security-medicare-insolvency

https://www.americanprogress.org/article/what-trumps-anti-environment-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-means-for-your-wallet-health-and-safety

https://budgetlab.yale.edu/research/long-term-impacts-one-big-beautiful-bill-act

Kick-start Your Child’s Financial Journey with Roth IRAs

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Summer break is here, and many young people will be working at a summer job or internship. While earning a paycheck is exciting, it can also be an excellent time to consider opening a Roth IRA and contributing a portion of their summer earnings. Not only does this jump-start retirement savings from an early age, but it can also serve as a positive learning experience about the principles of saving, investing, and cultivating long-term wealth.

The Roth IRA offers a unique combination of tax advantages and flexibility, making it an excellent choice for young savers.

Here are a few key benefits:

  • Tax-free growth: Roth IRA contributions are made with after-tax dollars, so your child won’t pay taxes (and perhaps penalties) until they make withdrawals.
  • Penalty-free withdrawals of contributions at any time: Your child can withdraw up to the amount of their total contributions at any time, for any reason, without paying taxes or penalties.
  • Early withdrawals of earnings: If your child withdraws amounts that exceed their contributions before age 59½ or before the account has been open for five years, they may face taxes and a 10% early withdrawal penalty on the earnings portion of the withdrawal.
  • Exceptions to early withdrawal penalties: Your child can withdraw funds before age 59½ or before the account has been open for five years for several reasons (keep in mind that you may be able to avoid penalties but not taxes on any earnings), including:
    • Funds can be used for qualified higher education expenses. 🎓
    • First-time home purchase (up to a $ 10,000 lifetime limit.)
    • If your child becomes disabled. ♿
    • For certain emergency expenses. 🏥
    • If your child is unemployed, they can use a withdrawal to help pay for health insurance premiums. 🩺

The flexibility and withdrawal choices for a Roth IRA can make it an attractive choice for young savers who may need access to their money in the future while still providing a powerful tool for long-term wealth building.

Keep in mind that with a Roth IRA, to qualify for the tax and penalty-free withdrawal of earnings, Roth IRA distributions must meet a five-year holding requirement and occur after age 59½. Tax-free and penalty-free withdrawals can also be made under certain other circumstances, such as in the examples we listed above. The original Roth IRA owner is not required to take minimum annual withdrawals.

Eligibility requirements

To contribute to a Roth IRA, your child must have earned income from a job, and the maximum contribution for 2024 is $7,000 or the total of their earned income, whichever is less. You can open and manage the account until they reach the age of majority in your state.

One more thing: They may need help filling out their Form W-4

If your child makes less than $14,600 in 2024, they may want to claim an exemption from withholding on their W-4 form by writing “Exempt” on line 4(c) of the form.

Here’s why:

  • Standard deduction: For the 2024 tax year, the standard deduction for a single filer is $14,600. If your child’s total income for the year is less than this amount, they won’t owe any federal income tax.
  • Claiming exemption: If your child expects to owe no federal income tax for the year and wants to have no tax withheld from their paycheck, they can write “Exempt” on line 4(c) of Form W-4. This means their employer won’t withhold any federal income tax from their paychecks.
  • Remember that if your child claims exemption, Social Security and Medicare taxes may still be withheld from their paychecks. Also, if their situation changes and they owe federal income tax for the year, they may face underpayment penalties.
  • Our ideas in this letter are for informational purposes only and are not a replacement for real-life advice. Consider consulting your tax, legal, and accounting professionals if you have questions about completing Form W-4.

If you’d like to discuss opening a Roth IRA for your child or grandchild, feel free to contact us. And feel free to share this with anyone you think might be interested.

Wishing you and your family a wonderful start to the summer!

Bryan Cassick, MBA, CFP®

Wealth Advisor, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

What to Do With a 529 Balance

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Watching your child earn a college diploma is a proud moment for any parent. It also marks another great moment: No more tuition bills. But after all the saving and planning you’ve done, what if there’s still money left over in your child’s 529 plan? Fortunately, you’ve got plenty of options. Here’s a list of strategies to make the most of those surplus education savings.

Keep Paying for School

If your newly minted graduate is pursuing a higher degree, that’s an easy way to spend down the balance in their 529 plan. These funds can be used to cover the same types of qualified educational expenses for graduate programs.

Name a New Beneficiary

If grad school isn’t in your child’s future, the most straightforward option for surplus funds is to assign the 529 account to a new beneficiary. You can change beneficiaries with no penalties or tax consequences, but the person must be related to the original beneficiary by blood, marriage, or adoption. That definition is broader than it sounds: For example, it includes in-laws, first cousins, first cousins’ spouses, and stepparents. You can even name yourself as the new beneficiary and spend the funds on your own continued education.

Repay Student Loans

If your graduate has taken on student loan debt, you can use 529 funds to help pay it down, subject to a lifetime limit of $10,000. You can also use up to $10,000 per sibling to repay their loans, which you can do without changing the beneficiary.

A few things to bear in mind: Most, but not all, student loans qualify. Private student loans must meet several criteria to be included in the program. For example, they must have been used solely for qualified education expenses for a degree or certificate program at an institution eligible for Title IV federal student aid. And they can’t be personal loans from a family member or a loan from a retirement plan. 

Also, 529 plans are run by states, and their rules don’t always align perfectly with federal legislation. We can help you check your 529 to see whether withdrawals for student loan payments will trigger any state tax penalties.

Roll Over Funds Into a Roth IRA

The SECURE 2.0 Act of 2022 added a brand-new option for unused 529 funds. If your 529 plan is at least 15 years old, you can transfer up to $35,000 into a Roth IRA in the beneficiary’s name with no taxes or penalties. 

The biggest limitation with this option is that rollovers are subject to the annual $7,000 Roth contribution limit. (If the beneficiary is 50 or older, that amount rises to $8,000.) You also can’t roll over more than the income earned by the beneficiary in that tax year. Any other contributions made to your beneficiary’s traditional or Roth IRA will reduce the amount you can roll over that year.   

Take the Money…and the Penalty

If you spend 529 funds on nonqualified expenses, you’ll be charged federal income tax and a 10% penalty on the earnings portion of your withdrawal. While doing so isn’t always ideal, it is an option—and sometimes, it may be the best one. For example, if you face a pressing financial need and your only other choice is to take on high-interest debt, paying the taxes and penalties on a nonqualified 529 withdrawal may be less expensive in the long run.

It’s also possible that the earnings portion is small enough to render the penalty insignificant. Let’s say you had $500 dollars left in the account, with contributions accounting for $420. In that case, only $80 would be subject to taxes and penalties. You might decide it’s worth taking the hit to be able to close the account and move on.

The bottom line is that 529 college savings plans have more flexibility than you might think. Reach out, and we will gladly help you weigh all the options for leftover funds. Congratulations to all the recent grads out there—and to the parents who helped foot their tuition bills.

Bryan Cassick, MBA, CFP®

Wealth Advisor, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.

Get to Know Connor Garnett: Warren Street’s Sponsored Pro Pickleball Player

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You’ve seen him on the court, now it’s time to get to know the person behind the paddle! We sat down with Connor Garnett, Warren Street’s newly sponsored pro pickleball player, for a quick Q&A to learn more about his journey, mindset, and what drives him — both on and off the court.

How did you get started in pickleball?

What does a typical day look like for you?

A typical day varies a lot. I try to get in a couple of hours of pickleball, some gym time, and then focus on business-related work. That includes video editing, creating Twoey merch, and coordinating deliverables with sponsors.

What do you love most about pickleball?

The community and the evolution of the game are what I love most. It’s really cool to see people from all walks of life coming together on the pickleball court. Hearing how each person got here and building those lasting connections is something I really enjoy. And there’s always new strategy to think about—different ways to play and improve—so the analytical side of me totally geeks out on that.

What’s been the biggest highlight of your career so far?

What excites you most about this partnership with Warren Street?

Favorite post-match snack?

Sour gummy worms—or if I need something more filling, sometimes I just go for a cheeseburger. It’s tough to balance eating without feeling lethargic during a long day, so I’m usually pretty hungry afterwards! 

What is one thing people might not know about you?

Say Hi to Connor!

Whether you’re catching him courtside at a SoCal tournament or seeing him in action on social media, we’re proud to have Connor representing the Warren Street brand. Stay tuned for future events, content, and more ways to connect with Connor through Warren Street!

Jennifer La

Jennifer La

Director of Sales & Marketing, Warren Street Wealth Advisors

Investment Advisor Representative, Warren Street Wealth Advisors, LLC., a Registered Investment Advisor

The information presented here represents opinions and is not meant as personal or actionable advice to any individual, corporation, or other entity. Any investments discussed carry unique risks and should be carefully considered and reviewed by you and your financial professional. Nothing in this document is a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, or an attempt to furnish personal investment advice. Warren Street Wealth Advisors may own securities referenced in this document. Due to the static nature of content, securities held may change over time and current trades may be contrary to outdated publications. Form ADV available upon request 714-876-6200.