Entries by Phillip Law, CFA

2026 Outlook: Beyond AI & Mega-Cap Tech

Is the AI “gold rush” a visionary leap or a speculative mania? After driving 60% of market growth in 2025, the ecosystem now faces a high-stakes “shot clock” on ROI. We weigh the explosive potential of AI against the vast amount of unanswered questions as we aim to make sense of AI’s “bubble-ness.”

2026 Investment Outlook: AI, Economy, Inflation

As we move into 2026, the investment landscape has shifted. After a year where gold and international markets defied the “di-worsification” myth, we examine the path forward for the US economy. This outlook dives deep into the bull and bear cases for AI hyperscalers, the impact of upcoming fiscal stimulus, and why the “hidden” risk of inflation may require a rethink of the traditional 60/40 portfolio.

Decoding the AI Hype: How Today’s Market Compares to the Dot-Com Bubble

Headlines are drawing parallels between the current AI-driven market surge and the late-1990s dot-com mania. Is history repeating itself, or is this time different? This post cuts through the noise, examining key differences like real earnings, profit margins, and underlying investment in AI infrastructure. We explain how a disciplined, data-driven investment approach is positioned to navigate various market outcomes. Get the essential context you need for your portfolio strategy.

Part 1: We Will Prevail

Markets are tumbling while buildings are collapsing, with weapons devastating Ukraine. Will we make it to the light at the end of the tunnel, or is all lost? This is a series addressing the geopolitical war overseas and the implications on investors.

Fighter Planes and Market Turmoil

Looking at the S&P 500’s largest annual intra-year drawdowns dating back to 1950, the index’s current downtrend in 2022 is really put into perspective. We’ve been spoiled with last year’s bull market, so should we be worried about this recent volatility?